Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady as market focuses on timing of 2024 cuts
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The US Federal Reserve held interest rates at a 23-year high on Wednesday, but gave little immediate indication of when it would begin cutting borrowing costs this year.
The Federal Open Market Committee’s decision to keep the benchmark federal funds target between 5.25 per cent and 5.5 per cent was reached unanimously, according to a statement released from the US central bank after the meeting.
Rate-setters indicated they would need more time before deciding to lower borrowing costs, saying the FOMC “does not expect it will be appropriate to reduce the target range until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably towards 2 per cent”.
The language signals they are unlikely to cut rates as soon as their next vote in March.
But the committee also removed a bias towards raising rates from their statement, confirming that its members think their next move will be a cut: “The committee judges the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are moving into better balance.”
The decision to hold rates steady — the fourth consecutive meeting with that outcome — was expected in the market, with traders focused on Fed chair Jay Powell’s post-meeting news conference and any clues he offers about when the central bank will begin cutting rates.
Officials expect to make 75 basis points worth of cuts over the course of 2024, as inflation shows further signs of heading towards their 2 per cent goal.
Stocks dipped and Treasury yields ticked higher after the Fed’s decision, and traders scaled back their expectations of an interest-rate cut in March. Traders in the futures market put the chances of a cut in March at 48 per cent after the Fed’s statement, compared with 60 per cent before the announcement.
The market reactions suggest that investors saw the statement as slightly more hawkish than expected.
